Jul 18, 2008

2nd Half Schedule Strength and Player Trends

Which teams face the toughest schedule over the rest of the season? How about:
  • Yankees (could have guessed that one with all the games left against the Red Sox and Rays)
  • Orioles (ditto)
  • Blue Jays (double ditto)
  • Mariners
  • Royals

And who has the weakest remaining schedule? It's the Minnesota Twins.

It's a bit of an oversimplification, but if you wanted to use strength of schedule as a trade planning tool you'd probably want to target deals with the following players involved:

Buy Targets

  • Justin Morneau
  • Joe Mauer
  • Carlos Gomez
  • Delmon Young
  • Scott Baker
  • Nick Blackburn
  • Kevin Slowey

Sell Targets

  • Nick Markakis
  • Aubrey Huff
  • Alex Rios
  • Derek Jeter
  • Adam Jones
  • Mike Mussina
  • Andy Pettitte
  • Jeremy Guthrie

And, do you know which players drop off / pick up most after the All-Star break?

Here are a few nuggets:

Largest batting average increase: Adam LaRoche
Largest batting average decrease: Eric Byrnes (but that doesn't really help now does it?) - next is Johnny Estrada (nope, no help there either) - next is Hank Blalock (there, that might be useful!)

Largest ERA decrease: Salomon Torres
Largest ERA increase: Chris Young (next is Nate Robertson)

Get the full analysis from the 'Elias Says...' blog available on ESPN.com.

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