May 20, 2008

Mid-May Update: Top 25 AL Prospects for 2008 and 2009

This list will be updated on a roughly bi-weekly basis to account for changes based on player performance, injuries, and loss/gain of playing opportunity.

Also, as players on the list lose their rookie eligibility, surpass 130 AB or 50 IP in the majors, they will 'graduate' from the list.

Here's the update for mid-May - all stats are through May 15th.

NOTE: The format of the stat line is changing to the following to make it easier to read:
Batting Stats: BA / OPS / R-HR-RBI-SB
Pitching Stats: ERA / WHIP / IP-H-R(ER)-BB-K

Top 25 AL Prospects for 2008 and 2009

1. (-) Evan Longoria, 3B, TB
TB: .210 / .690 / 14-4-15-2 (.295 K Rate)


2. (+1) Joba Chamberlain, RHP, NYY
NYY: 2.60 / 1.14 / 17.1-11-5-7-20


3. (+1) Carlos Gonzalez, OF, OAK
AAA Sacramento: .310 / .784 / 12-3-13-1 (.194 K Rate)
Last 10 games: .206 BA, but with improved K Rate of .176


4. (+1) Wladimir Balentien, OF, SEA
AAA Tacoma: .254 / .948 / 11-6-20-1 sb (.175 K Rate)
SEA: .222 / .745 / 7-4-9-0 (whopping .352 K Rate)


5. (-3) Jeff Clement, C, SEA
AAA Tacoma: .397 / 1.227 / 21-5-20 (.154 K Rate)
SEA: .182 / .580 / 4-0-1-0 (.386 K Rate)

Clement was sent down on May 18th - which is a bad move for Seattle. He doesn't have anything left to prove in the minors and needs to work his way through the transition to the majors. Hopefully they'll realize their mistake sooner than later and call him back up for good.


6. (+1) Luke Hochevar, RHP, KC
AAA Omaha: 2.60 / 0.98 / 17.1-11-7(5)-6-12
KC: 3.94 / 1.38 / 29.2-27-13-14-24


7. (+3) Greg Smith, LHP, OAK
OAK: 3.26 / 1.17 / 49.2-40-20(18)-18-42


8. (-2) Brandon Wood, 3B/SS, LAA
AAA Salt Lake: .255 / .858 / 21-8-20-1 (.333 K Rate)
LAA: .154 / .484 / 3-1-1-0 (.423 K Rate - no wonder he's back in Utah)


9. (-1) Nick Adenhart, RHP, LAA
AAA Salt Lake: 0.87 / 1.06 / 31-18-4(3)-15-19
LAA: 9.00 / 2.58 / 12-18-12-13-4

Adenhart was sent back down to Salt Lake after a poor showing for the Angels. Look for him to bounce back and forth between Salt Lake and Anaheim a few more times before coming up to stay.


10. (-1) Adam Miller, RHP, CLE
AAA Buffalo: 2.28 / 1.39 / 23.2-24-9(6)-9-16


11. (-3) Gio Gonzalez, LHP, OAK
AAA Sacramento: 4.85 / 1.67 /39-43-23(21)-22-30

Despite the less-than-stellar overall numbers, Gonzalez is close to being ready for the call. He just needs to refine his command and get his walk rate down.


12. (+1) Armando Galarraga, RHP, DET
Triple-A Toledo: 2.25 / 0.67 / 12-7-3-1-11 K
DET: 3.07 / 0.99 / 29.1-20-14(10)-9-21

If Leyland removes Galarraga from the rotation at this point the Tigers don't deserve to win another game all year.


13. (NR) Matt Joyce, OF, DET
Triple-A Toledo: .299 / .903 / 17-5-21-2 (.278 K Rate)
DET: .292 / 1.024 / 4-3-5-0

Raise your hand if you didn't see this one coming. Frankly, pretty much nobody did. Joyce was decent, but not spectacular by any stretch at Toledo. Still, with the Tigers offensive woes they turned to Joyce to help shake things up and so far he's done just that. Once the AL gets the book on Joyce expect him to struggle through late May into June. Hopefully he can make the adjustments necessary for continued success.


14. (-2) Ian Kennedy, RHP, NYY
Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre: 0.00 / 0.24 / 8.1-2-0-0-8
NYY: 8.48 / 1.88 / 28.2-33-27-21-19

Kennedy certainly proved that he had nothing to prove at the Triple-A level. Most impressive were his 8 Ks against no walks in 8.1 innings. Now if he can just translate that K/BB ratio to the bigs...


15. (-1) David Price, LHP, TB
Scheduled to make his debut with High-A Vero Beach on Thursday, May 21st.

Price was in extended spring training longer than expected recovering from elbow discomfort he experienced in late March.


16. (NR) Carlos Rosa, RHP, KC
Double-A Northwest Arkansas: 1.20 / 0.82 / 45-30-8(6)-7-42

Rosa is dominating at the Double-A level. It wouldn't be surprising to see him get the call directly from that level.


17. (+1) Jed Lowrie, SS, BOS
Triple-A Pawtucket: .216 / .793 / 9-1-6-0
BOS: .310 / .817 / 6-1-7-0

Lowrie went 4-for-12 with a home run and five rbi in his first four games back at Triple-A after his demotion on May 11th. He acquitted himself extremely well with Boston during his tenure. He'll again be the first to get the call the next time the Red Sox need an infielder.


18. (-2) Radhames Liz, RHP, BAL
Triple-A Norfolk: 5.12 / 1.40 / 45.2-43-32(26)-21-44

After being very solid in his final two starts of April with a line of 0.69 / 0.77 / 13-5-1-5-15, Liz was not so great in his first three starts in May with a line of 6.00 / 1.61 / 18-17-12-12-15. Again, he just needs to show more consistency, when he's good - he's very good, and when he's bad - he's horrible!


19. (-4) Matt Wieters, C, BAL
High-A Frederick: .336 / 1.011 / 27-9-23-1 (.184 K Rate)

Over his last 10 games (through May 15th), Wieters is again on a roll to the tune of .324 BA, 4 HR and just three Ks over 34 AB. The only reason behind Wieters drop on this list was word from the Baltimore front office that they have no plans to promote Wieters for the foreseeable future.


20. (+2) Chris Davis, 3B, TEX
Double-A Frisco: .340 / .991 / 35-10-33-4 (.247 K Rate)

Over his last 10 games (through May 15th), Davis is on fire with a .436 BA and a K:BB ratio of 5:5 over 39 AB (.128 K Rate).


21. (-) Travis Snider, OF, TOR
High-A Dunedin: .279 / .891 / 15-4-7-0 (.361 K Rate)
Double-A New Hampshire: .200 / .686 / 11-4-16-0 (.424 K Rate - that is BAD!)

Snider is adjusting quickly to the Double-A level. Over his last 10 games (through May 15th) he was batting .263 with two home runs, 12 RBI and K:BB ratio of 10:7 over 38 AB (.263 K Rate - much improved!)


22. (-2) Jake McGee LHP, TB
Double-A Montgomery: 4.20 / 1.30 / 40.2-34-23(19)-17-39

Over first three May starts: 2.65 / 1.29 / 17-15-5-7-12


23. (NR) Justin Masterson, RHP, BOS
Double-A Portland: 4.23 / 1.38 / 38.1-37-22(18)-16-37
BOS: 1.50 / 1.00 / 6-2-1-4-4

If you're able to grab Masterson during the short period his name appears on your league's free agent list, by all means do it!


24. (NR) David Huff, LHP, CLE
Double-A Akron: 2.14 / 0.86 / 46.1-29-13(11)-11-43


25. (NR) Kila Kaaihue, 1B, KC
Double-A Northwest Arkansas: .253 / .966 / 17-10-29-1 (.141 K Rate)

Over last 10 games (through May 15th), Kaaihue is batting .320 with three home runs and an awesome K:BB ratio of 4:11 over 25 ABs (.100 K Rate)



May Update: Top 25 AL Prospects for 2008 and 2009

May Update: Top 25 NL Prospects for 2008 and 2009



DROPPED FROM THE LIST:

David Purcey, LHP, TOR
Triple-A Syracuse: 2.22 / 1.01 / 44.2-29-13(11)-16-52
TOR: 4.1 ip, 2 h, 1 er, 7 bb, 3 K

Bouncing between the minors and the majors, just like Justin Masterson, only without the good results in the bigs.


Reid Brignac, SS, TB
Triple-A Durham: .264 / .710 / 21-3-20-3 (.229 K Rate)

Over last 10 games (through May 15th): .313 BA with 13 Ks and no walks over 32 ABs (for a whopping .406 K Rate)


Brett Gardner, OF, NYY
Triple-A Scranton-WB: .285 / .833 / 31-2-17-10 (.223 K Rate)

Over last 10 games (through May 15th): .226 BA with 8 Ks in 31 AB (.258 K Rate)



GRADUATED FROM THE LIST:

Carlos Gomez, OF, MIN (Highest Rank #2)
MIN: .270 / .704 / 22-3-14-16 (.277 K Rate)

Jacoby Ellsbury, OF, BOS (Highest Rank #3)
BOS: .282 / .783 / 31-3-13-15 (.111 K Rate)

Daric Barton, 1B, OAK (Highest Rank #2)
OAK: .224 / .654 / 22-2-15-0 (.252 K Rate)

Clay Buchholz, RHP, BOS (Highest Rank #3)
BOS: 5.53 / 1.63 / 42.1-49-27(26)-20-54

Nick Blackburn, RHP, MIN (Highest Rank #10)
MIN: 3.93 / 1.43 / 50.1-62-23(22)-10-25

Aaron Laffey, LHP, CLE (Highest Rank #17)
Triple-A Buffalo: 2.77 / 1.15 / 26-24-9(8)-6-20
CLE: 1.35 / 0.86 / 26.2-18-6(4)-5-14

Garrett Olson, LHP, BAL (Highest Rank #19)
Triple-A Norfolk: 1.85 / 1.36 / 24.1-22-5-11-25
BAL: 2.95 / 1.25 / 18.1-16-6-7-15


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